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2nd Amendment

Directions: In order to get people to share ideas and to hear everyone’s voices I have opted for a different tactic.  We are going to try an online discussion where I can monitor what is being said and get everyone involved in the converstation.  To kick off this event we are going to start with a controversial amendment.  It is your goal to give us your opinion on the topic at hand and to defend it.  You are then required to comment on your fellow students posts as well.  A proper post is not, I agree or I disagree, but back up your opinion with thought.  This is for a grade and will need to be done in class.

Task 1

Todays topic is the 2nd Amendment.  We all have an immediate opinion on what the 2nd Amendment is, however here is what the Amendment says….  “A well regulated Militia, being necessary to the security of a free State, the right of the people to keep and bear Arms, shall not be infringed.”  Your first task is to try and translate that into English.

Task 2

In your opinion, has the rights of gun owners gone too far or has the rights of a gun owner been limited too much?  Back up your opinions, defend your answers

 

Task 3

With your definition watch the following videos below and let the class know, where you fall on the argument between limiting guns in the United States, or allowing for the free exchange of guns in the United States.  Make sure that you defend your answer.

In todays class we talked about Punishment and the 8th Amendment.  Below are some questions that I would like for you to ponder and give me your honest opinion about.  Please tell me your opinion but keep it clean and avoid attacking each other.

 

How many innocent lives have been taken by the death penalty?

Is it fair that ethnic minorities are more likely to receive the death penalty than a white person who committed the same crime?

Why is it O.K. for the government to kill people? Isn’t the executioner a murderer too? Should we then kill the executioner? And what about the executioner’s executioner? The retaliatory killing could go on endlessly. Gandhi said, “An eye for an eye leaves the whole world blind.”

 

For all of these questions it should be easy to come up with atleast 200 words for your post.  Once you are finished you need to respond to atleast 3 other people.

Unalienable Rights

Smoking_bans

As we talk about in class today, all Americans and non-Americans have rights in the United States that the Government “cannot” take away.  However, we have also seen that rights are relative.  Your rights end where my rights begin.  With that being said many states have started to act upon that statement by banning things they feel are infringing on others rights.  One of these “rights” is smoking.  Many states, as you can see in the picture attached, are starting to ban smoking in areas of the public.  What are your views on this topic?  Make sure to defend your answers, also to not attack one another personally, and to comment on at least 2 of your peers comments.  FYI, you cannot say I agree with your post, put some thought into it.  This will be worth 20 points.

After reading the chapter please read this article about security vs privacy and then answer and debate the question below.

When F. Scott Fitzgerald told the story of young Amory Blaine at Princeton University in “This Side of Paradise,” he wrote of “the silent stretches of green, the quiet halls with an occasional late-burning scholastic light.” Many of the same halls are still on the Princeton campus, but today the tenderness of the night is often shattered by shrill beeps and a klaxon-like speaker screaming in a robotic voice, “Please close the door securely.”

KEEPING TABS – A card opens campus doors and also feeds information to a computer database.

 
Norman Y. Lono for The New York Times

Princeton University, like many other institutions of higher education, worries about protecting its students.

And one way to protect those students, when you have 4,600 of them, is with an electronic security system. But when most of those students are older than 18, the question is: Do they want to be protected?

In the early 90’s, Princeton began equipping all dormitories and other buildings with automatic locks and a system for unlocking the doors built around slim plastic cards called proximity cards, or prox cards, one issued to each student. This fall, Princeton increased the level of security by keeping all dormitories locked all the time, instead of just between 9 P.M. and 7 A.M.

The change has generated a campus debate over whether students want to trade the inconvenience and what many perceive as a loss of privacy for the increased security provided by keeping the dormitories locked all the time. The privacy question arises because not only does the security system read the prox cards to open doors, but it also records all card usage so there is a computer database of students’ entries into campus buildings.

To get into a dormitory, a student places a prox card — which doubles as an identification card, library card and charge card for the university store and dining halls — near a black plastic box encasing a tiny transceiver. (The card is called a proximity card because it just needs to be near the box; it is not inserted into anything.) After the card is read, the door is opened, and a record of the entry is transmitted to the campus police office. Such electronic records are saved for three weeks before they are written over.

Princeton is not alone in adopting electronic security; a number of other colleges and universities have similar systems. For the safety of their students, universities often decide that campuses cannot be as freewheeling about physical movement as they are about the exchange of ideas.

Yale University uses an electronic pass system similar to Princeton’s and also keeps a record. Cynthia Atwood, a Yale spokeswoman, said: “We do have the capability of tracking individuals and their comings and goings from the residential college, but since we’ve installed this card system, we’ve had no complaints about privacy. We’ve not been asked by any authorities for records of the comings or goings of students.”

Mike Doheny, a spokesman for Motorola, which makes electronic security cards for Princeton and others — it calls them RF cards, for radio frequency — said the company “had provided several million RF ID cards over the past year for various applications for businesses and campuses.” He did not have figures for how many were being used for campus security systems. But the increases in campus security have generated some opposition on the Princeton campus. Both The Nassau Weekly, a student newspaper, and The Princeton Alumni Weekly have reported objections and attempts to foil the system.

Some people, like Harvey A. Silverglate, who graduated from Princeton in 1964, doubt whether security systems that keep records of students’ movements are appropriate for campuses.

Silverglate is one of the two authors of “The Shadow University: the Betrayal of Liberty on America’s Campuses” (Free Press, 1998), which argues that speech codes and authoritarian impulses are making campuses today too restrictive.

Asked about the new security system at Princeton, Silverglate called it “just another example of overreaching and overbearing administrators who insist on controlling student life.”

Deborah Hurley, the director of the Harvard Information Infrastructure Project, which addresses policy issues involving information technology, said: “There are two issues from a privacy point of view. One is proportionality and the second is the locus of control. Is the personal data collected proportional to the risk of harm? I think the answer is no. It’s not only an individual’s privacy — it’s freedom of movement and freedom of association.”

She added, “In this case, Princeton is gathering reams of data about all of its students, and the students are the appropriate ones to have control and ownership of that data.”

Ms. Hurley said she had been distressed to discover that her own university maintained a record of when she entered and left her parking garage.

Princeton’s students have been making their opinions known. A poll was taken in the last school year about the plan to keep the dormitories locked all the time — known as “24-hour prox” — said Jeff Siegel, a former student body president who is now a trustee of the university. “About 80 percent of the males and only 60 percent of the women didn’t want the 24-hour prox,” Siegel said. “The 40 percent of the women, however, were very adamant.”    M OST of the arguments for keeping the system active all the time at the dormitories can be summarized as anticipating “what if” situations. Richard Spies, vice president for finance and administration at Princeton, said: “We just began to worry about what were still by anyone’s standards a small number of incidents. But there were people who were in the dormitories who shouldn’t have been there. We don’t want to wake up one morning and find we had a very tragic incident that we could have prevented.”

Crime statistics reported by the university show 33 burglaries on campus in 1995, 43 in 1996 and 42 in 1997.

The debate over the new system has led to a new policy governing when information gathered by the prox card system can be used.

Barry Weiser, a crime-prevention specialist at Princeton, said an investigating officer who wanted such access must get approval from both the dean of student life and the head of campus security. Weiser said the records had been opened only once in the last six months or so, when the city police subpoenaed the records for one door in a case involving vandalism. The dean of student life and the head of security initially rejected the impulse to make the data available.

That dean, Janina Montero, said: “The threshold for checking that information was determined to be fairly high. The director of public safety meets with me, and together we would arrive on a decision as to whether to take that step.”

Dana Bernemen, a senior in the electrical engineering department and the chairwoman of the Undergraduate Student Life committee, said: “Privacy is something we fought for pretty hard last year. We think we did an O.K. job with it. It takes a pretty reasonable or substantial issue to unseal those records.”

In conversations with more than two dozen students, in person and by telephone, many said they were surprised to find out that the university was recording their movements. Most of the students said their primary objection was over the inconvenience of the system; privacy concerns were generally listed second.

Ms. Bernemen said she liked the security system. “I don’t think that it’s that much of an inconvenience,” she said. “For the added safety, it’s worth it.”

Dan Grech, a senior who is actively involved in the debate, said, “It seems as if you’re living in a prison.” Grech said he lived in a new dormitory room with a key-operated door that locked automatically. “There is no way to unlock your door,” he said. “Whenever you leave, it locks behind you.” That complicates sleepy late-night trips to the bathroom down the hall and forces students to look for ways to circumvent the system.

Some students interviewed also wondered about the system’s effectiveness. In mid-October, a freshman, Alicia Wright, found a man she didn’t know in her room. After he politely excused himself and left, Ms. Wright became suspicious and telephoned one of the student advisers assigned to freshmen. The adviser assured Ms. Wright that the man was probably an authorized fire inspector and told her not to worry. Only later did her roommates discover that two laptops and some jewelry were missing from the room, she said.

“After the burglary, I don’t think very much of the security here,” Ms. Wright said. “A lot of times, you see people letting others in the door. I would do the same thing.”

Jessica Collins, a freshman who is one of Ms. Wright’s roommates, said: “If people’s parents come, everyone says, ‘Have someone prox you in and come up to my room.’ There is this trust.” She said students would often let others enter the dormitories under the assumption that the people were friends or relatives of dormitory residents or simply residents who had forgotten their cards.

Many of the students complain that the way the system is run forces them to be so lenient about allowing others entry. There is no simple way for students to provide a visitor a spare set of keys, they said. The security office will issue visitors prox cards for short periods, but most of the students interviewed were not aware of that.

Princeton is trying to add more flexibility by expanding a system in which visitors can call students on the telephone to ask to be allowed into a dormitory and the students can open doors remotely by pushing the 5 button on the telephone.

Many students interviewed said they often used other students’ cards, grabbing the nearest card that worked, like a roommate’s card. Most said they did not mind confounding the system, and a few said they were happy to do so.

In the past, the prox card came without a picture or other identifying marks and was used only for security.

Now one prox card does it all, acting as identification and as a student charge card for campus purchases.

Such systems are opposed by Marc Rotenberg, director of the Electronic Privacy Information Center, a research group in Washington. He said such a system was “more appropriate for a prison or a secure military installation instead of a college campus, where trust and openness have been part of the tradition.”

In speeches, he said, he often suggests electronic disobedience in the form of card swapping for supermarket discount programs. He said swapping cards destroyed the system’s ability to track people over the long term.

In New York City, some people say they often swap the unlimited-ride subway Metrocards to confound a similar tracking system, according to 2600, a hacker magazine.

No one has challenged the legality of Princeton University’s collection of tracking data on its students. Silverglate, who has served on various committees of the American Civil Liberties Union and taught at major law schools, including Harvard, called the system of data collection “creepy.” But he added, “We shouldn’t confuse that with illegal, unconstitutional or unethical.” The Constitution, he explained, prohibits unreasonable searches but says little about the gradual aggregation of routinely collected data.

Rotenberg said few legal precedents govern the vast databases developing in public and private hands. The Supreme Court has visited the issue of searches many times but has provided little guidance on data collection.

But Ms. Hurley said the situation would be different in Europe because a directive issued by the European Union strictly limited the collection of personal data by private groups.

Rotenberg said some students would inevitably buck such security systems.

He added, “People who think they have a technical solution to a social problem are invariably disappointed.”

David Ascher, the current student body president at Princeton, said he thought that the university had reached the right decision on the security system, given the substantial minority of students who felt so strongly about using the prox cards 24 hours a day. But he added, “Do you know that scene in ‘Jurassic Park’ where Jeff Goldblum said, You guys have been so intent on building the technology without wondering if it’s a good idea? I often got the impression that the university was intent on building the system because it could, not because it was a good idea.”

Question/Debate

–Does a person’s privacy have to be compromised for security reasons?
–Does a person’s security have to be compromised to maintain that person’s privacy?

There are no right or wrong answer if you back up your opinion with clear and honest thought.  Keep it school appropriate and respect others.  To finish you must state your opinion (150 words to 300) and then you must comment on 3 others posts.  Must say more than I agree and I disagree.  Don’t forget about your current events.  If you can’t get on facebook I have posted them on here for you.

Read and then do the discussion question below.

“Only marriage between a man and a woman is valid or recognized in California.” – Proposition 8, “California Marriage Protection Act”

On November 8, 2008, 52% of the Californians who voted in state elections approved this ballot proposition.

Two gay couples sued in May 2009, saying that Proposition 8 violated their constitutional rights to due process and equal protection. On August 4, 2010, Judge Vaughn Walker, chief judge of the Federal District Court in San Francisco, agreed with them.

The Fifth Amendment to the Constitution says that no person shall “be deprived of life, liberty, or property without due process of law.” The Constitution’s Fourteenth Amendment declares that no state shall “deprive any person of life, liberty, or property without due process of law; nor deny to any person within its jurisdiction the equal protection of the law.”

“Due process” has played a major role in many court cases. A well-known example is the Supreme Court’s 1966 decision in the Miranda case. Ernesto Miranda confessed to a crime without knowing he had a right to have an attorney with him during a police interrogation. The Court overturned his conviction and established the rights of defendants not only to an attorney, but also to remain silent and to be warned that anything they say may be held against them.

“Equal protection of the law” has also been a prominent element in many cases. Notably, it was key in a 1954 Supreme Court decision which found that state laws establishing separate public schools for black and white students denied African-American children equal educational opportunities.

Excerpt from Judge Walker’s ruling

“Marriage in the United States has always been a civil matter. Civil authorities may permit religious leaders to solemnize marriages but not to determine who may enter or leave a civil marriage. Religious leaders may determine independently whether to recognize a civil marriage or divorce, but that recognition or lack thereof has no effect on the relationship under state law….

“Proposition 8 was premised on the belief that same-sex couples simply are not as good as opposite-sex couples. Whether that belief is based on moral disapproval of homosexuality, animus toward gays and lesbians or simply a belief that a relationship between a man and woman is inherently better than a relationship between two men or two women, this belief is not a proper basis on which to legislate. The Constitution cannot control private biases, but neither can it tolerate them….

“California’s obligation is to treat its citizens equally….Because California has no interest in discriminating against gay men and lesbians, and because Proposition 8 prevents California from fulfilling its constitutional obligation to provide marriages on an equal basis, the court concludes that Proposition 8 is unconstitutional….

“Plaintiffs have demonstrated by overwhelming evidence that Proposition 8 violates their due process and equal protection rights and that they will continue to suffer these constitutional violations until state officials cease enforcement of Proposition 8….”

Competing views of same-sex marriage

Judge Walker, who was nominated by President Ronald Reagan and appointed by President George W.H. Bush, is regarded as a conservative. His decision applies only to California, but will not lead immediately to gay marriages even in that state. A federal appeals court extended a stay on same-sex marriages there until it makes its own decision on whether such marriages are constitutional. No matter what that court decides, the case will probably then be appealed to the Supreme Court.

Kristin Perry, one of the plaintiffs, said, “This decision says that we are Americans, too. We should be treated equally. Our family is just as loving, just as real and just as valid as anyone else’s.”

Theodore Olson, one of the gay couples’ attorneys, called the judge’s decision “a victory for the American people” and anyone denied rights “because they are unpopular, because they are a minority, because they are viewed differently.”

A defense lawyer, Andrew Pugno, disagreed. He argued that California voters “simply wished to preserve the historic definition of marriage. The other side’s attack upon their good will and motive is lamentable and preposterous.”

Though not recognized by federal law, same-sex marriages are legal and currently performed in Connecticut, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Vermont, Iowa and Washington, D.C. The Coquille Indian Tribe in Oregon has also granted legal status to same-sex marriages. Same-sex marriage was also legal for a time in California, and 18,000 gay couples were married in the state before passage of Proposition 8.

Judge Walker’s decision may affect the election of California’s next governor this fall. Democratic candidate Jerry Brown is a longtime supporter of gay marriage. But his Republican opponent, Meg Whitman, says she supports only domestic partnership, which provides many, but not all, marriage rights.

Whitman’s position is similar to that of President Obama, who said in an ABC interview during the presidential election campaign: “I’m a strong supporter of civil unions….I believe that marriage is between a man and a woman, but I also think that same-sex partners should be able to visit each other in hospitals, they should be able to transfer property, they should be able to get the same federal rights and benefits that are conferred onto married couples.

“And so, you know, as president, my job is to make sure that the federal government is not discriminating and that we maintain the federal government’s historic role in not meddling with what states are doing when it comes to marriage law. That’s what I’ll do as president.” (6/16/08)

More recently, his senior advisor, David Axelrod, explained on MSNBC that the president continued to oppose same-sex marriage. “But he supports equality for gay and lesbian couples, and benefits….” Axelrod added, “He does believe that marriage is an issue for the states.” (8/5/10)

For discussion

In this post debate the concept, does the ban on Gay Marriage violate the 14th amendment and ones right to Due Process?  Explain your answer.  This is going to be a heated discussion so please be school appropriate and using your reading and use the terms you learned in your post.  I am looking for clear and honest thought.  You will not be graded for your opinion but how well you defend your opinion.  Also before you can finish you must find atleast 4 other comments and post on them.  You can not say I agree or disagree.  You must explain everything.

In this disscussion I have a senerio for you to think about and debate on.

A students at a large urban district is mad that the school board passed a new code of conduct whereby students must place all electronic devices on his or her desk at the start of the day.  If a student is found to have an electronic device on them and it is not out in public the teacher can confiscate it and keep it till the following Monday which means the student will loose it over the weekend.  Students angred by this decision start a petition and start recieving the number of signatures needed to make their cause worthy.  However, the schools principal catches wind of this and takes the petition and destroys it.  The students claim it is their constitutional right to petition the school, but the school argues that they were not allowed to petition a school during school hours.  In your opinion who is right and why?

Your post should be about 200 words. Your initial post is worth 20 points. You also need to reply to atleast two other people these are worth 10 points each. If you go beyond two you will get more points. If you have any questions you can always ask the teacher for help.

When you are finished with this small post, please get with your teams and work on your BofR’s projects.  Due Friday May 4th, 2012.

free state HS students

Freedom of Religion

April 30th, 2012
Freedom of Religion

As a group you need to write in this blog as a group, the answer to these questions.  Make sure to tell me who is in your group.  No more than 2 to a group.

1. Why can’t a free society exist without free expression?

2. What is the Establishment Clause of the First Amendment, and what does it do?

3. What has the Supreme Court ruled on religion and education, list the cases and the outcomes.

4. How has the Supreme Court interpreted and limited the Free Exercise Clause.

The freedom to express ideas freely and to hear the ideas of others is fundamental to American democracy. However, some limitations on freedom of expression have been upheld by the Supreme Court. These include restrictions on certain kinds of speech, such as sedition and obscenity, and on speech in certain circumstances, such as when broadcast over the public airwaves.

The central questions that I want you to discuss is, does freedom of speech allow citizens to burn the American Flag.

To start this debate, hit the new page. Title it Free Speech – Your name.

Your post needs to be atleast 150 words. When your finished you must comment on 2 other students comments.  Make sure to come back tomorrow and see what the other periods had to say about your comments.  These debates will go on for an entire week.  With new content everyday.

 

Read and then do the discussion question below.

“Only marriage between a man and a woman is valid or recognized in California.”
— Proposition 8, “California Marriage Protection Act”

On November 8, 2008, 52% of the Californians who voted in state elections approved this ballot proposition.

Two gay couples sued in May 2009, saying that Proposition 8 violated their constitutional rights to due process and equal protection. On August 4, 2010, Judge Vaughn Walker, chief judge of the Federal District Court in San Francisco, agreed with them.

The Fifth Amendment to the Constitution says that no person shall “be deprived of life, liberty, or property without due process of law.” The Constitution’s Fourteenth Amendment declares that no state shall “deprive any person of life, liberty, or property without due process of law; nor deny to any person within its jurisdiction the equal protection of the law.”

“Due process” has played a major role in many court cases. A well-known example is the Supreme Court’s 1966 decision in the Miranda case. Ernesto Miranda confessed to a crime without knowing he had a right to have an attorney with him during a police interrogation. The Court overturned his conviction and established the rights of defendants not only to an attorney, but also to remain silent and to be warned that anything they say may be held against them.

“Equal protection of the law” has also been a prominent element in many cases. Notably, it was key in a 1954 Supreme Court decision which found that state laws establishing separate public schools for black and white students denied African-American children equal educational opportunities.

Excerpt from Judge Walker’s ruling

“Marriage in the United States has always been a civil matter. Civil authorities may permit religious leaders to solemnize marriages but not to determine who may enter or leave a civil marriage. Religious leaders may determine independently whether to recognize a civil marriage or divorce, but that recognition or lack thereof has no effect on the relationship under state law….

“Proposition 8 was premised on the belief that same-sex couples simply are not as good as opposite-sex couples. Whether that belief is based on moral disapproval of homosexuality, animus toward gays and lesbians or simply a belief that a relationship between a man and woman is inherently better than a relationship between two men or two women, this belief is not a proper basis on which to legislate. The Constitution cannot control private biases, but neither can it tolerate them….

“California’s obligation is to treat its citizens equally….Because California has no interest in discriminating against gay men and lesbians, and because Proposition 8 prevents California from fulfilling its constitutional obligation to provide marriages on an equal basis, the court concludes that Proposition 8 is unconstitutional….

“Plaintiffs have demonstrated by overwhelming evidence that Proposition 8 violates their due process and equal protection rights and that they will continue to suffer these constitutional violations until state officials cease enforcement of Proposition 8….”

Competing views of same-sex marriage

Judge Walker, who was nominated by President Ronald Reagan and appointed by President George W.H. Bush, is regarded as a conservative. His decision applies only to California, but will not lead immediately to gay marriages even in that state. A federal appeals court extended a stay on same-sex marriages there until it makes its own decision on whether such marriages are constitutional. No matter what that court decides, the case will probably then be appealed to the Supreme Court.

Kristin Perry, one of the plaintiffs, said, “This decision says that we are Americans, too. We should be treated equally. Our family is just as loving, just as real and just as valid as anyone else’s.”

Theodore Olson, one of the gay couples’ attorneys, called the judge’s decision “a victory for the American people” and anyone denied rights “because they are unpopular, because they are a minority, because they are viewed differently.”

A defense lawyer, Andrew Pugno, disagreed. He argued that California voters “simply wished to preserve the historic definition of marriage. The other side’s attack upon their good will and motive is lamentable and preposterous.”

Though not recognized by federal law, same-sex marriages are legal and currently performed in Connecticut, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Vermont, Iowa and Washington, D.C. The Coquille Indian Tribe in Oregon has also granted legal status to same-sex marriages. Same-sex marriage was also legal for a time in California, and 18,000 gay couples were married in the state before passage of Proposition 8.

Judge Walker’s decision may affect the election of California’s next governor this fall. Democratic candidate Jerry Brown is a longtime supporter of gay marriage. But his Republican opponent, Meg Whitman, says she supports only domestic partnership, which provides many, but not all, marriage rights.

Whitman’s position is similar to that of President Obama, who said in an ABC interview during the presidential election campaign: “I’m a strong supporter of civil unions….I believe that marriage is between a man and a woman, but I also think that same-sex partners should be able to visit each other in hospitals, they should be able to transfer property, they should be able to get the same federal rights and benefits that are conferred onto married couples.

“And so, you know, as president, my job is to make sure that the federal government is not discriminating and that we maintain the federal government’s historic role in not meddling with what states are doing when it comes to marriage law. That’s what I’ll do as president.” (6/16/08)

More recently, his senior advisor, David Axelrod, explained on MSNBC that the president continued to oppose same-sex marriage. “But he supports equality for gay and lesbian couples, and benefits….” Axelrod added, “He does believe that marriage is an issue for the states.” (8/5/10)

For discussion

In this post debate the concept, does the ban on Gay Marriage violate the 14th amendment and ones right to Due Process?  Explain your answer.  This is going to be a heated discussion so please be school appropriate and using your reading and use the terms you learned in your post.  I am looking for clear and honest thought.  You will not be graded for your opinion but how well you defend your opinion.  Also before you can finish you must find atleast 4 other comments and post on them.  You can not say I agree or disagree.  You must explain everything.

Nixon’s Foreign Policy

Nixon is a highly controversial figure in American politics.  People tend to believe one side of the story or the other, but Nixon did do some amazing things while in office.  One of these great feats was in the sphere of foreign policy.  There are a few questions I want to ask before I get to the opinion questions.

1. Who was Henry Kissinger and what was his role to the President?  What is important to know about the man?

2. Define Realpolitik, détente in your own words (not the book definition).

Now that we have those questions , why was Nixon’s trip to China in your eyes such an important deal?  How did this trip help strengthen ties with the Soviet Union in your eyes?  In your opinion answer this question.  Nixon found himself at the height of the Cold War, but rather do the same policies of his predecessors he went out on a limb and tried something different by going to China and limiting weapons with the Soviet Union.  In you opinion with a clear message do you think this was the right thing to do or do you feel that Nixon showed weakness that helped the Soviet Union and the Communist world to last for many more years?